Canadian Pacific Kansas City Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Canadian Pacific Kansas City is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 14.1% and 7.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.2% in 3 years.

Key information

14.1%

Earnings growth rate

14.7%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth	16.7%
Revenue growth rate	7.4%
Future return on equity	13.2%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	13 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Is Canadian Pacific Railway (TSE:CP) Using Too Much Debt?

Mar 31

What Is Canadian Pacific Railway Limited's (TSE:CP) Share Price Doing?

Feb 14

Need To Know: The Consensus Just Cut Its Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (TSE:CP) Estimates For 2023

Feb 01

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:CP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	17,112	5,128	4,407	7,247	20
12/31/2025	15,824	4,590	3,597	6,470	27
12/31/2024	14,644	3,709	2,474	5,178	26
9/30/2024	14,448	3,540	2,084	4,901	N/A
6/30/2024	14,238	3,483	1,844	4,656	N/A
3/31/2024	13,809	3,902	1,646	4,271	N/A
12/31/2023	12,555	3,927	1,638	4,137	N/A
9/30/2023	11,241	4,175	2,188	4,521	N/A
6/30/2023	10,214	4,286	2,593	4,596	N/A
3/31/2023	9,242	3,727	2,674	4,410	N/A
12/31/2022	8,814	3,517	2,585	4,142	N/A
9/30/2022	8,392	2,778	1,587	3,026	N/A
6/30/2022	8,022	2,359	1,083	2,472	N/A
3/31/2022	7,874	2,840	2,284	3,719	N/A
12/31/2021	7,995	2,852	2,156	3,688	N/A
9/30/2021	7,967	3,122	2,628	4,069	N/A
6/30/2021	7,888	3,248	2,461	4,014	N/A
3/31/2021	7,626	2,637	1,256	2,895	N/A
12/31/2020	7,710	2,444	1,131	2,802	N/A
9/30/2020	7,767	2,306	1,009	2,850	N/A
6/30/2020	7,883	2,326	1,359	3,180	N/A
3/31/2020	8,068	2,415	1,288	3,066	N/A
12/31/2019	7,792	2,440	1,343	2,990	N/A
9/30/2019	7,729	2,321	1,274	2,888	N/A
6/30/2019	7,648	2,325	1,158	2,738	N/A
3/31/2019	7,421	2,037	1,194	2,728	N/A
12/31/2018	7,316	1,951	1,161	2,712	N/A
9/30/2018	7,023	2,390	985	2,514	N/A
6/30/2018	6,720	2,278	N/A	2,368	N/A
3/31/2018	6,613	2,322	N/A	2,268	N/A
12/31/2017	6,554	2,405	N/A	2,182	N/A
9/30/2017	6,478	1,805	N/A	2,217	N/A
6/30/2017	6,437	1,642	N/A	2,281	N/A
3/31/2017	6,244	1,490	N/A	2,182	N/A
12/31/2016	6,232	1,599	N/A	2,089	N/A
9/30/2016	6,282	1,534	N/A	1,944	N/A
6/30/2016	6,437	1,510	N/A	2,049	N/A
3/31/2016	6,638	1,572	N/A	2,122	N/A
12/31/2015	6,712	1,352	N/A	2,459	N/A
9/30/2015	6,785	1,484	N/A	2,493	N/A
6/30/2015	6,746	1,561	N/A	2,331	N/A
3/31/2015	6,776	1,542	N/A	2,391	N/A
12/31/2014	6,620	1,476	N/A	2,123	N/A
9/30/2014	6,467	1,107	N/A	2,125	N/A
6/30/2014	6,331	1,031	N/A	2,095	N/A
3/31/2014	6,147	912	N/A	1,970	N/A
12/31/2013	6,133	875	N/A	1,950	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CP's forecast earnings growth (14.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: CP's earnings (14.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (16.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CP's revenue (7.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (7.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CP's revenue (7.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.2%).

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 17%

Recent updates

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Third quarter dividend of CA$0.19 announced

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on January 27, 2025

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (TSX:CP) acquired Rail line of Meridian & Bigbee Railroad, L.L.C.

Now 21% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.19 per share

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Appoints Arturo Gutiérrez Hernández to Board of Directors, Effective on November 1, 2024

CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold CA$6.5m worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Second quarter dividend of CA$0.19 announced

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on Oct. 28, 2024

CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold CA$4.0m worth of stock

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 30, 2024

Executive VP & CFO exercised options and sold CA$1.5m worth of stock

CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold CA$3.8m worth of stock

Executive VP exercised options and sold CA$1.4m worth of stock

Dividend of CA$0.19 announced

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold CA$4.6m worth of stock

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 24, 2024

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Announces Departure of John Orr as Executive Vice President and Chief Transformation Officer

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.19 per share

Executive VP & COO exercised options and sold CA$1.3m worth of stock

Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise

Executive VP & Chief Marketing Officer exercised options and sold CA$1.8m worth of stock

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 24, 2024

Fourth quarter dividend of CA$0.19 announced

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Declares a Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 29, 2024

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jan 30, 2024

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.19 per share at 0.7% yield

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Declares Quarterly Dividend on Common Shares, Payable on January 29, 2024

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 25, 2023

Insider exercised options and sold CA$1.7m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.19 per share at 0.7% yield

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

New major risk - Financial position

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on Oct. 30, 2023

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 27, 2023

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.19 per share at 0.7% yield

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Announces Directors Appointments

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited Launches Mexico Midwest Express Premium Intermodal Service

VP & Chief Information Officer exercised options and sold CA$111k worth of stock

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold CA$7.3m worth of stock

Is Canadian Pacific Railway (TSE:CP) Using Too Much Debt?

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.19 per share at 0.7% yield

CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold CA$2.4m worth of stock

CEO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

What Is Canadian Pacific Railway Limited's (TSE:CP) Share Price Doing?

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 17%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Need To Know: The Consensus Just Cut Its Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (TSE:CP) Estimates For 2023

Canadian Pacific Railway Limited Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 24, 2023

CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold CA$4.9m worth of stock

Canadian Pacific Railway Limited to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Jan 31, 2023

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (TSE:CP)

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.19 per share

Does Canadian Pacific Railway (TSE:CP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold CA$5.2m worth of stock