Algoma Central Corporation

TSX:ALC Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$584.2m

Algoma Central Valuation

Is ALC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALC (CA$14.62) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$5.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALC?

Key metric: As ALC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALC. This is calculated by dividing ALC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8x
EarningsCA$73.75m
Market CapCA$584.18m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
CHR Chorus Aviation
16.3x71.3%CA$588.2m
LGT.B Logistec
32.3xn/aCA$834.3m
MTL Mullen Group
10.5x7.0%CA$1.3b
WTE Westshore Terminals Investment
13.2x-3.1%CA$1.4b
ALC Algoma Central
8xn/aCA$584.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Shipping Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALC 8.0xIndustry Avg. 4.2xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the North American Shipping industry average (4.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$14.62
CA$21.75
+48.8%
14.9%CA$25.00CA$18.50n/a2
Dec ’25CA$15.01
CA$21.75
+44.9%
14.9%CA$25.00CA$18.50n/a2
Nov ’25CA$14.95
CA$21.75
+45.5%
14.9%CA$25.00CA$18.50n/a2
Oct ’25CA$15.00
CA$21.75
+45.0%
14.9%CA$25.00CA$18.50n/a2
Sep ’25CA$14.26
CA$21.75
+52.5%
14.9%CA$25.00CA$18.50n/a2
Aug ’25CA$14.82
CA$22.25
+50.1%
12.4%CA$25.00CA$19.50n/a2
Sep ’24CA$15.26
CA$23.33
+52.9%
10.1%CA$25.00CA$20.00CA$14.263
Aug ’24CA$15.15
CA$23.50
+55.1%
9.0%CA$25.00CA$20.50CA$14.823
Jul ’24CA$15.15
CA$23.50
+55.1%
9.0%CA$25.00CA$20.50CA$14.203
Jun ’24CA$14.90
CA$23.50
+57.7%
9.0%CA$25.00CA$20.50CA$14.163
May ’24CA$15.79
CA$23.83
+50.9%
6.9%CA$25.00CA$21.50CA$14.673
Apr ’24CA$15.75
CA$23.83
+51.3%
6.9%CA$25.00CA$21.50CA$14.903
Mar ’24CA$16.10
CA$23.83
+48.0%
6.9%CA$25.00CA$21.50CA$14.863
Feb ’24CA$16.33
CA$24.17
+48.0%
4.9%CA$25.00CA$22.50CA$15.263
Jan ’24CA$18.22
CA$24.17
+32.6%
4.9%CA$25.00CA$22.50CA$14.953
Dec ’23CA$16.45
CA$24.17
+46.9%
4.9%CA$25.00CA$22.50CA$15.063

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 13:42
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Algoma Central Corporation is covered by 4 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yuri LynkCanaccord Genuity
David OcampoCormark Securities Inc.
Alexandra RicciParadigm Capital, Inc.