Algoma Central Corporation (TSE:ALC) will increase its dividend on the 3rd of March to CA$0.20, which is 5.3% higher than last year's payment from the same period of CA$0.19. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 5.0%.
Check out our latest analysis for Algoma Central
Algoma Central's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. Based on the last payment, Algoma Central's earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 8.5% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 44%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$0.28 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$0.76. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
We Could See Algoma Central's Dividend Growing
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Algoma Central has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 8.5% per annum. The company is paying out a lot of its cash as a dividend, but it looks okay based on the payout ratio.
Our Thoughts On Algoma Central's Dividend
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Algoma Central will make a great income stock. While Algoma Central is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Algoma Central that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:ALC
Algoma Central
Owns and operates a fleet of dry and liquid bulk carriers activities in Canada.
Mediocre balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.
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