Kinaxis Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Kinaxis Inc. (TSE:KXS) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 2.1% to hit US$136m. Kinaxis also reported a statutory profit of US$0.64, which was an impressive 60% above what the analysts had forecast. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Kinaxis from ten analysts is for revenues of US$545.1m in 2025. If met, it would imply a modest 5.9% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 135% to US$2.06. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$542.0m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.93 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.
Check out our latest analysis for Kinaxis
There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of CA$225, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Kinaxis analyst has a price target of CA$245 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CA$198. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Kinaxis' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 12% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 19% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 16% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Kinaxis.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Kinaxis following these results. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Kinaxis going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:KXS
Kinaxis
Provides cloud-based subscription software for supply chain operations in the United States, Europe, Asia, and Canada.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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