BlackBerry Valuation

Is BB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BB (CA$3.87) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$3.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA69.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
TCS Tecsys
3.4x10.7%CA$573.1m
SYZ Sylogist
3.3x11.1%CA$218.5m
BTQ BTQ Technologies
21.1xn/aCA$47.2m
QIS Quorum Information Technologies
1.4x3.5%CA$55.2m
BB BlackBerry
1.9x8.2%CA$2.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the Canadian Software industry average (3.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.9x
Fair PS Ratio4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$3.87
CA$4.79
+23.7%
19.1%CA$5.97CA$3.75n/a3
Apr ’25CA$3.68
CA$5.76
+56.5%
15.3%CA$6.41CA$4.52n/a3
Mar ’25CA$3.77
CA$5.76
+52.8%
15.3%CA$6.41CA$4.52n/a3
Feb ’25CA$3.72
CA$5.76
+54.9%
15.3%CA$6.41CA$4.52n/a3
Jan ’25CA$4.70
CA$5.76
+22.6%
15.3%CA$6.41CA$4.52n/a3
Dec ’24CA$5.18
CA$6.06
+17.1%
8.7%CA$6.59CA$5.53n/a2
Nov ’24CA$4.92
CA$6.06
+23.3%
8.7%CA$6.59CA$5.53n/a2
Oct ’24CA$6.43
CA$6.40
-0.5%
3.2%CA$6.60CA$6.19n/a2
Sep ’24CA$7.62
CA$6.24
-18.1%
3.8%CA$6.48CA$6.01n/a2
Aug ’24CA$6.75
CA$6.24
-7.5%
3.8%CA$6.48CA$6.01n/a2
Jul ’24CA$7.34
CA$6.03
-17.8%
8.8%CA$6.57CA$5.50n/a2
Jun ’24CA$7.24
CA$6.03
-16.7%
8.8%CA$6.57CA$5.50n/a2
May ’24CA$5.26
CA$6.03
+14.7%
8.8%CA$6.57CA$5.50n/a2
Apr ’24CA$6.20
CA$5.53
-10.7%
19.1%CA$6.59CA$4.47CA$3.682
Mar ’24CA$5.24
CA$6.25
+19.3%
27.9%CA$7.99CA$4.51CA$3.772
Feb ’24CA$5.99
CA$6.25
+4.3%
27.9%CA$7.99CA$4.51CA$3.722
Jan ’24CA$4.41
CA$6.25
+41.7%
27.9%CA$7.99CA$4.51CA$4.702
Dec ’23CA$6.81
CA$7.51
+10.3%
20.5%CA$9.05CA$5.97CA$5.182
Nov ’23CA$6.36
CA$7.51
+18.1%
20.5%CA$9.05CA$5.97CA$4.922
Oct ’23CA$6.51
CA$7.97
+22.4%
13.7%CA$9.06CA$6.87CA$6.432
Sep ’23CA$7.58
CA$7.78
+2.6%
16.6%CA$9.06CA$6.49CA$7.622
Aug ’23CA$7.87
CA$7.78
-1.2%
16.6%CA$9.06CA$6.49CA$6.752
Jul ’23CA$6.94
CA$8.68
+25.1%
4.6%CA$9.08CA$8.28CA$7.342
Jun ’23CA$7.24
CA$8.51
+17.6%
3.4%CA$8.80CA$8.23CA$7.242
May ’23CA$7.35
CA$8.41
+14.4%
4.6%CA$8.79CA$8.02CA$5.262
Apr ’23CA$8.42
CA$9.29
+10.3%
5.2%CA$9.77CA$8.81CA$6.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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