Optimistic Investors Push Advent-AWI Holdings Inc. (CVE:AWI) Shares Up 28% But Growth Is Lacking

Advent-AWI Holdings Inc. (CVE:AWI) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking further back, the 14% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, Advent-AWI Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

The earnings growth achieved at Advent-AWI Holdings over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Advent-AWI Holdings

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Advent-AWI Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Advent-AWI Holdings' Growth Trending?

Advent-AWI Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Advent-AWI Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Advent-AWI Holdings' P/E

Shares in Advent-AWI Holdings have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Advent-AWI Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Advent-AWI Holdings you should be aware of, and 3 of them are a bit concerning.

You might be able to find a better investment than Advent-AWI Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.