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Nova Cannabis Valuation

Is NOVC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NOVC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NOVC (CA$1.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$20.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NOVC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NOVC?

Key metric: As NOVC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NOVC. This is calculated by dividing NOVC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NOVC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.5x
EarningsCA$3.06m
Market CapCA$108.64m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NOVC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NOVC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.8x
PET Pet Valu Holdings
21.7x18.1%CA$1.9b
ROOT Roots
85.8xn/aCA$86.5m
DIV Diversified Royalty
15.6x3.6%CA$494.5m
GBT BMTC Group
16.2xn/aCA$437.3m
NOVC Nova Cannabis
35.5xn/aCA$108.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NOVC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the peer average (34.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NOVC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NOVC 35.5xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NOVC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x) compared to the North American Specialty Retail industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NOVC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NOVC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NOVC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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