Stock Analysis

Diversified Royalty's (TSE:DIV) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

TSX:DIV
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Diversified Royalty Corp.'s (TSE:DIV) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

View our latest analysis for Diversified Royalty

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TSX:DIV Earnings and Revenue History March 29th 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Diversified Royalty expanded the number of shares on issue by 16% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Diversified Royalty's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

A Look At The Impact Of Diversified Royalty's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Three years ago, Diversified Royalty lost money. The good news is that profit was up 104% in the last twelve months. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 79% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Diversified Royalty shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Diversified Royalty's Profit Performance

Each Diversified Royalty share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Diversified Royalty's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 79% EPS growth in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Diversified Royalty at this point in time. Be aware that Diversified Royalty is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Diversified Royalty's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Diversified Royalty is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.