Is ATZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6
Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ATZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ATZ (CA$46.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$322.31)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ATZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATZ?
Key metric: As ATZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ATZ. This is calculated by dividing ATZ's market cap by their current
earnings.
What is ATZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio
51.9x
Earnings
CA$101.38m
Market Cap
CA$5.26b
ATZ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ATZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.9x) compared to the North American Specialty Retail industry average (17.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ATZ's PE Ratio
compared to its
Fair PE Ratio?
This is the expected PE Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
ATZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio
51.9x
Fair PE Ratio
52.4x
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ATZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.4x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst ATZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
CA$46.64
CA$57.94
+24.2%
6.3%
CA$66.00
CA$52.50
n/a
8
Nov ’25
CA$45.60
CA$57.94
+27.1%
6.3%
CA$66.00
CA$52.50
n/a
8
Oct ’25
CA$49.03
CA$51.63
+5.3%
6.3%
CA$56.00
CA$47.00
n/a
8
Sep ’25
CA$46.10
CA$50.00
+8.5%
4.8%
CA$54.00
CA$47.00
n/a
8
Aug ’25
CA$44.49
CA$50.00
+12.4%
4.8%
CA$54.00
CA$47.00
n/a
8
Jul ’25
CA$38.72
CA$44.38
+14.6%
10.3%
CA$53.00
CA$40.00
n/a
8
Jun ’25
CA$34.05
CA$44.00
+29.2%
10.3%
CA$53.00
CA$40.00
n/a
8
May ’25
CA$35.34
CA$42.38
+19.9%
9.7%
CA$50.00
CA$37.00
n/a
8
Apr ’25
CA$37.23
CA$41.38
+11.1%
12.0%
CA$50.00
CA$34.00
n/a
8
Mar ’25
CA$35.29
CA$38.00
+7.7%
19.4%
CA$50.00
CA$22.00
n/a
9
Feb ’25
CA$35.10
CA$35.22
+0.3%
14.5%
CA$40.00
CA$22.00
n/a
9
Jan ’25
CA$27.50
CA$32.78
+19.2%
17.1%
CA$40.00
CA$20.00
n/a
9
Dec ’24
CA$25.73
CA$32.13
+24.9%
20.2%
CA$41.00
CA$20.00
CA$46.64
8
Nov ’24
CA$21.02
CA$32.13
+52.8%
20.2%
CA$41.00
CA$20.00
CA$45.60
8
Oct ’24
CA$23.63
CA$32.13
+36.0%
20.2%
CA$41.00
CA$20.00
CA$49.03
8
Sep ’24
CA$24.79
CA$36.25
+46.2%
16.2%
CA$46.00
CA$27.00
CA$46.10
8
Aug ’24
CA$25.30
CA$36.25
+43.3%
16.2%
CA$46.00
CA$27.00
CA$44.49
8
Jul ’24
CA$36.78
CA$50.25
+36.6%
8.5%
CA$60.00
CA$44.00
CA$38.72
8
Jun ’24
CA$35.24
CA$50.14
+42.3%
9.1%
CA$60.00
CA$44.00
CA$34.05
7
May ’24
CA$43.88
CA$61.57
+40.3%
3.1%
CA$65.00
CA$59.00
CA$35.34
7
Apr ’24
CA$43.37
CA$61.57
+42.0%
3.1%
CA$65.00
CA$59.00
CA$37.23
7
Mar ’24
CA$41.43
CA$61.57
+48.6%
3.1%
CA$65.00
CA$59.00
CA$35.29
7
Feb ’24
CA$48.34
CA$61.57
+27.4%
3.1%
CA$65.00
CA$59.00
CA$35.10
7
Jan ’24
CA$47.35
CA$62.14
+31.2%
3.6%
CA$67.00
CA$60.00
CA$27.50
7
Dec ’23
CA$51.42
CA$61.86
+20.3%
3.9%
CA$67.00
CA$59.00
CA$25.73
7
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.