Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Rubicon Organics Inc.'s (CVE:ROMJ) 26% Share Price Climb

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TSXV:ROMJ

Rubicon Organics Inc. (CVE:ROMJ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.4% isn't as impressive.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Rubicon Organics' P/S ratio of 0.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Pharmaceuticals industry in Canada is also close to 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Rubicon Organics

TSXV:ROMJ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2024

How Has Rubicon Organics Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Rubicon Organics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Rubicon Organics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Rubicon Organics' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Rubicon Organics' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.2% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 116% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 13% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Rubicon Organics is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Rubicon Organics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Rubicon Organics' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Looking at Rubicon Organics' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Rubicon Organics that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.