Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For TerrAscend Corp. (TSE:TSND) As Its Stock Soars 25%

TSX:TSND
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TerrAscend Corp. (TSE:TSND) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 43% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking TerrAscend is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.8x, considering almost half the companies in Canada's Pharmaceuticals industry have P/S ratios below 1x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for TerrAscend

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:TSND Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 24th 2024

What Does TerrAscend's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

TerrAscend could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on TerrAscend will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like TerrAscend's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 42% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 155% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 8.3% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why TerrAscend is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does TerrAscend's P/S Mean For Investors?

TerrAscend's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of TerrAscend's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for TerrAscend that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TerrAscend might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.