Stock Analysis

Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc. (TSE:MDP) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

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TSX:MDP

Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc. (TSE:MDP) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.8% isn't as attractive.

Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in Canada's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Medexus Pharmaceuticals as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Medexus Pharmaceuticals

TSX:MDP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 31st 2024

What Does Medexus Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Medexus Pharmaceuticals has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Medexus Pharmaceuticals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Medexus Pharmaceuticals' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.6%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 42% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.2% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 9.6% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Medexus Pharmaceuticals' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Medexus Pharmaceuticals' P/S

Medexus Pharmaceuticals' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Medexus Pharmaceuticals maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Medexus Pharmaceuticals you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.