Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Adastra Holdings Ltd.'s (CSE:XTRX) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Lower

CNSX:XTRX
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The Adastra Holdings Ltd. (CSE:XTRX) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 66% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, considering around half the companies operating in Canada's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, you may consider Adastra Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Adastra Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
CNSX:XTRX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 23rd 2024

What Does Adastra Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Adastra Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Adastra Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Adastra Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.2%. While this performance is only fair, the company was still able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.1% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Adastra Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Adastra Holdings' P/S

The southerly movements of Adastra Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We're very surprised to see Adastra Holdings currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Adastra Holdings, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Adastra Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.