Stock Analysis

Adastra Holdings Ltd.'s (CSE:XTRX) Shares Leap 26% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

CNSX:XTRX
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Adastra Holdings Ltd. (CSE:XTRX) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 63% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, considering around half the companies operating in Canada's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Adastra Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Adastra Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
CNSX:XTRX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

What Does Adastra Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Adastra Holdings has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Adastra Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Adastra Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Adastra Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 92% last year. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 6.2%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Adastra Holdings' P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Adastra Holdings' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Adastra Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Adastra Holdings (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.