Stock Analysis

Adastra Holdings Ltd. (CSE:XTRX) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 41%

CNSX:XTRX
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Adastra Holdings Ltd. (CSE:XTRX) share price has dived 41% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 64% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, when close to half the companies operating in Canada's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may consider Adastra Holdings as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Adastra Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
CNSX:XTRX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 11th 2024

How Has Adastra Holdings Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Adastra Holdings has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Adastra Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Adastra Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Adastra Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 37%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 6.5% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Adastra Holdings' P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does Adastra Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of Adastra Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Adastra Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Adastra Holdings you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.