Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Green Thumb Industries Inc.'s (CSE:GTII) Price

CNSX:GTII
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in Canada have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, Green Thumb Industries Inc. (CSE:GTII) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 2.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Green Thumb Industries

ps-multiple-vs-industry
CNSX:GTII Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

How Has Green Thumb Industries Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Green Thumb Industries has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Green Thumb Industries.

How Is Green Thumb Industries' Revenue Growth Trending?

Green Thumb Industries' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.4% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 128% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 10% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 8.5% each year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Green Thumb Industries' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Green Thumb Industries' P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Green Thumb Industries currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Green Thumb Industries that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.