Stock Analysis

Grown Rogue International (CSE:GRIN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

CNSX:GRIN
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Grown Rogue International Inc. (CSE:GRIN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does Grown Rogue International Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of April 2022, Grown Rogue International had US$3.45m of debt, up from US$1.48m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$1.82m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.64m.

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CNSX:GRIN Debt to Equity History September 17th 2022

How Strong Is Grown Rogue International's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Grown Rogue International had liabilities of US$5.46m due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.31m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.82m as well as receivables valued at US$1.00m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.95m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Grown Rogue International has a market capitalization of US$10.3m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Grown Rogue International's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.40 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.7 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Notably, Grown Rogue International made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$3.7m in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Grown Rogue International will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Considering the last year, Grown Rogue International actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Grown Rogue International's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Grown Rogue International's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Grown Rogue International that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.