Stock Analysis
Even With A 135% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding 1CM Inc.'s (CSE:EPIC) Performance Completely
1CM Inc. (CSE:EPIC) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 135% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 75% share price decline over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that 1CM's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for 1CM
What Does 1CM's Recent Performance Look Like?
1CM certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for 1CM, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For 1CM?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like 1CM's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 118% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 8.6%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
With this information, we find it interesting that 1CM is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From 1CM's P/S?
1CM appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
To our surprise, 1CM revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for 1CM you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on 1CM, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About CNSX:EPIC
1CM
Operates as a multi-jurisdictional cannabis company in Canada.