Stock Analysis

Ayr Wellness (CSE:AYR.A) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

CNSX:AYR.A
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Ayr Wellness Inc. (CSE:AYR.A) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ayr Wellness

How Much Debt Does Ayr Wellness Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Ayr Wellness had US$399.1m of debt in June 2024, down from US$469.6m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$47.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$351.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CNSX:AYR.A Debt to Equity History October 23rd 2024

A Look At Ayr Wellness' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Ayr Wellness had liabilities of US$108.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$757.3m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$47.5m as well as receivables valued at US$14.4m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$803.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$225.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Ayr Wellness would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ayr Wellness can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Ayr Wellness's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Ayr Wellness had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$12m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through US$7.3m in the last year. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Ayr Wellness is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.