Stock Analysis

We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Shaw Communications Inc. (TSE:SJR.B) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

TSX:SJR.B
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Shaw Communications Inc. (TSE:SJR.B) is about to go ex-dividend in just 4 days. Ex-dividend means that investors that purchase the stock on or after the 14th of January will not receive this dividend, which will be paid on the 28th of January.

Shaw Communications's next dividend payment will be CA$0.099 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CA$1.19 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Shaw Communications has a trailing yield of approximately 5.2% on its current stock price of CA$22.95. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Shaw Communications's dividend is reliable and sustainable. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

View our latest analysis for Shaw Communications

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. It paid out 90% of its earnings as dividends last year, which is not unreasonable, but limits reinvestment in the business and leaves the dividend vulnerable to a business downturn. We'd be concerned if earnings began to decline. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Over the last year, it paid out more than three-quarters (76%) of its free cash flow generated, which is fairly high and may be starting to limit reinvestment in the business.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
TSX:SJR.B Historic Dividend January 9th 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that Shaw Communications's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. We'd take that over an earnings decline any day, but in the long run, the best dividend stocks all grow their earnings per share.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the past 10 years, Shaw Communications has increased its dividend at approximately 3.0% a year on average.

To Sum It Up

Should investors buy Shaw Communications for the upcoming dividend? Shaw Communications has been unable to generate earnings growth, but at least its dividend looks sustainable, with its profit and cashflow payout ratios within reasonable limits. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.

Although, if you're still interested in Shaw Communications and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. For example, we've found 1 warning sign for Shaw Communications that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

We wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see, though. Here's a list of interesting dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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