Stock Analysis

We're Not Worried About Wolfden Resources' (CVE:WLF) Cash Burn

TSXV:WLF
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. Indeed, Wolfden Resources (CVE:WLF) stock is up 160% in the last year, providing strong gains for shareholders. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Wolfden Resources shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for Wolfden Resources

How Long Is Wolfden Resources' Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When Wolfden Resources last reported its balance sheet in September 2020, it had zero debt and cash worth CA$2.2m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CA$297k. Therefore, from September 2020 it had 7.3 years of cash runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:WLF Debt to Equity History November 26th 2020

How Is Wolfden Resources' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Wolfden Resources didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. From a cash flow perspective, it's great to see the company's cash burn dropped by 90% over the last year. While that hardly points to growth potential, it does at least suggest the company is trying to survive. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can Wolfden Resources Raise More Cash Easily?

There's no doubt Wolfden Resources' rapidly reducing cash burn brings comfort, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund further growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Wolfden Resources has a market capitalisation of CA$27m and burnt through CA$297k last year, which is 1.1% of the company's market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

How Risky Is Wolfden Resources' Cash Burn Situation?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Wolfden Resources is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash burn reduction suggests that the company is on a good path. And even its cash burn relative to its market cap was very encouraging. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn, which seems to be under control. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Wolfden Resources you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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