Stock Analysis

Monument Mining Limited's (CVE:MMY) Shares Leap 36% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

TSXV:MMY
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Monument Mining Limited (CVE:MMY) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 80%.

Even after such a large jump in price, Monument Mining may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 3.3x and even P/S higher than 22x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Monument Mining

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:MMY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

What Does Monument Mining's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Monument Mining certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Monument Mining will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Monument Mining's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Monument Mining's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. The amazing performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 60% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 47% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that Monument Mining is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Monument Mining's P/S

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Monument Mining's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

To us, it seems Monument Mining currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Monument Mining (including 2 which can't be ignored).

If you're unsure about the strength of Monument Mining's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.