Minera Alamos Inc.

TSXV:MAI Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$675.6m

Minera Alamos Valuation

Is MAI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of MAI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: MAI (CA$6.4) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (CA$200.9)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: MAI is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAI?

Key metric: As MAI is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MAI. This is calculated by dividing MAI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MAI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio13.6x
SalesCA$51.20m
Market CapCA$675.59m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MAI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MAI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.5x
SCZ Santacruz Silver Mining
2x16.61%CA$1.0b
ARG Amerigo Resources
3.2x-6.17%CA$1.0b
MDI Major Drilling Group International
1.6x10.54%CA$1.3b
TI Titan Mining
3x-0.26%CA$310.6m
MAI Minera Alamos
13.6xn/aCA$675.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).


Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MAI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

83 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IMG IAMGOLD
2.9x9.27%US$9.55b
BTO B2Gold
1.7x12.01%US$6.12b
TXG Torex Gold Resources
2.5x7.64%US$3.96b
AAUC Allied Gold
2.5x32.54%US$3.45b
MAI 13.6xIndustry Avg. 5.9xNo. of Companies83PS01224364860+
83 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.6x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (5.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio13.6x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MAI's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MAI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$6.40
CA$9.33
+45.83%
6.68%CA$10.00CA$8.50n/a3
May ’27CA$6.68
CA$9.33
+39.72%
6.68%CA$10.00CA$8.50n/a3
Apr ’27CA$6.12
CA$9.00
+47.06%
4.54%CA$9.50CA$8.50n/a3
Mar ’27CA$7.29
CA$8.75
+20.03%
2.86%CA$9.00CA$8.50n/a2
Feb ’27CA$5.67
CA$7.50
+32.28%
20.00%CA$9.00CA$6.00n/a2
Jan ’27CA$5.30
CA$7.50
+41.51%
20.00%CA$9.00CA$6.00n/a2
Dec ’26CA$4.50
CA$7.50
+66.67%
20.00%CA$9.00CA$6.00n/a2
Nov ’26CA$3.95
CA$7.50
+89.87%
20.00%CA$9.00CA$6.00n/a2
Oct ’26CA$4.15
CA$7.25
+74.70%
24.14%CA$9.00CA$5.50n/a2
Aug ’26CA$4.60
CA$8.25
+79.35%
21.21%CA$10.00CA$6.50n/a2
Jul ’26CA$3.50
CA$8.25
+135.71%
21.21%CA$10.00CA$6.50n/a2
Jun ’26CA$3.70
CA$8.25
+122.97%
21.21%CA$10.00CA$6.50n/a2
May ’26CA$3.50
CA$8.25
+135.71%
21.21%CA$10.00CA$6.50CA$6.682
Nov ’25CA$3.65
CA$8.33
+128.31%
17.20%CA$10.00CA$6.50CA$3.953
Oct ’25CA$3.15
CA$7.33
+132.80%
25.71%CA$10.00CA$6.00CA$4.153
Sep ’25CA$2.45
CA$7.33
+199.32%
25.71%CA$10.00CA$6.00CA$3.553
Aug ’25CA$2.95
CA$7.33
+148.59%
25.71%CA$10.00CA$6.00CA$4.603
Jul ’25CA$3.00
CA$7.33
+144.44%
25.71%CA$10.00CA$6.00CA$3.503
Jun ’25CA$3.90
CA$7.33
+88.03%
25.71%CA$10.00CA$6.00CA$3.703
May ’25CA$3.20
CA$7.33
+129.17%
25.71%CA$10.00CA$6.00CA$3.503
CA$9.33
Fair Value
31.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/25 13:45
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/25 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Minera Alamos Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 0 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullDesjardins Securities Inc.
Allison CarsonDesjardins Securities Inc.
John SclodnickNational Bank Financial