Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd.

TSXV:GSVR Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$96.8m

Guanajuato Silver Valuation

Is GSVR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GSVR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GSVR's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GSVR's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GSVR?

Key metric: As GSVR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GSVR. This is calculated by dividing GSVR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GSVR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesUS$70.54m
Market CapUS$69.33m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GSVR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GSVR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.2x
BCM Bear Creek Mining
0.7xn/aCA$85.4m
EMPR Empress Royalty
4.8xn/aCA$43.3m
VOXR Vox Royalty
12.5x33.7%CA$189.2m
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines
3x11.3%CA$220.6m
GSVR Guanajuato Silver
1x11.3%CA$96.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GSVR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (5.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GSVR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

84 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.9x16.5%
GSVR Guanajuato Silver
1x11.3%US$69.30m
LUN Lundin Mining
1.9x4.4%US$7.89b
BTO B2Gold
2x16.3%US$3.73b
GSVR 1.0xIndustry Avg. 2.9xNo. of Companies84PS0816243240+
84 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.9x40.3%
GSVR Guanajuato Silver
1x79.6%US$69.30m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GSVR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (2.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GSVR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GSVR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GSVR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GSVR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$0.20
CA$0.33
+62.5%
7.7%CA$0.35CA$0.30n/a2
Nov ’25CA$0.27
CA$0.33
+22.6%
7.7%CA$0.35CA$0.30n/a2
Oct ’25CA$0.23
CA$0.33
+39.8%
7.7%CA$0.35CA$0.30n/a2
Sep ’25CA$0.23
CA$0.38
+66.7%
6.7%CA$0.40CA$0.35n/a2
Aug ’25CA$0.26
CA$0.38
+44.2%
6.7%CA$0.40CA$0.35n/a2
Jul ’25CA$0.25
CA$0.38
+50.0%
6.7%CA$0.40CA$0.35n/a2
Jun ’25CA$0.30
CA$0.82
+167.8%
45.1%CA$1.25CA$0.35n/a3
May ’25CA$0.18
CA$0.83
+363.0%
41.7%CA$1.25CA$0.40n/a3
Apr ’25CA$0.22
CA$0.83
+278.8%
41.7%CA$1.25CA$0.40n/a3
Mar ’25CA$0.15
CA$0.83
+437.6%
41.7%CA$1.25CA$0.40n/a3
Feb ’25CA$0.20
CA$0.83
+316.7%
41.7%CA$1.25CA$0.40n/a3
Jan ’25CA$0.26
CA$0.83
+220.5%
41.7%CA$1.25CA$0.40n/a3
Dec ’24CA$0.35
CA$0.83
+138.1%
41.7%CA$1.25CA$0.40n/a3
Nov ’24CA$0.30
CA$0.87
+184.2%
35.4%CA$1.25CA$0.50CA$0.273
Oct ’24CA$0.28
CA$0.78
+171.9%
39.9%CA$1.25CA$0.50CA$0.234
Sep ’24CA$0.29
CA$0.81
+175.4%
45.3%CA$1.40CA$0.50CA$0.234
Aug ’24CA$0.34
CA$0.82
+146.3%
43.4%CA$1.40CA$0.50CA$0.264
Jul ’24CA$0.40
CA$0.84
+109.4%
41.7%CA$1.40CA$0.50CA$0.254
Jun ’24CA$0.45
CA$0.89
+99.4%
34.8%CA$1.40CA$0.60CA$0.304
May ’24CA$0.57
CA$1.00
+75.4%
32.4%CA$1.45CA$0.70CA$0.183
Apr ’24CA$0.57
CA$0.95
+66.7%
26.3%CA$1.20CA$0.70CA$0.222
Mar ’24CA$0.36
CA$0.95
+160.3%
26.3%CA$1.20CA$0.70CA$0.152
Feb ’24CA$0.41
CA$0.95
+128.9%
26.3%CA$1.20CA$0.70CA$0.202
Jan ’24CA$0.37
CA$0.95
+156.8%
26.3%CA$1.20CA$0.70CA$0.262
Dec ’23CA$0.46
CA$1.05
+128.3%
14.3%CA$1.20CA$0.90CA$0.352
Nov ’23CA$0.40
CA$1.05
+162.5%
14.3%CA$1.20CA$0.90CA$0.302

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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