Falco Resources Valuation

Is FPC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FPC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FPC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FPC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FPC?

Key metric: As FPC is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for FPC. This is calculated by dividing FPC's market cap by their current book value.
What is FPC's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	2.1x
Book	CA$49.46m
Market Cap	CA$100.85m

FPC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-42.3x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does FPC's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for FPC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	3.4x
PML Panoro Minerals	2x	n/a	CA$101.8m
GPH Graphite One	1.3x	n/a	CA$108.4m
NCX NorthIsle Copper and Gold	8.4x	n/a	CA$103.8m
LUCA Luca Mining	1.9x	n/a	CA$103.1m
FPC Falco Resources	2.1x	n/a	CA$100.8m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: FPC is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.1x) compared to the peer average (3.4x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does FPC's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

87 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
S Sherritt International	0.1x	n/a	US$49.43m
WM Wallbridge Mining	0.2x	n/a	US$46.78m
NCU Nevada Copper	0.1x	n/a	US$31.56m
ELR Eastern Platinum	0.3x	n/a	US$26.05m

87 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: FPC is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.1x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (1.4x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FPC's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FPC PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	2.1x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FPC's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FPC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CA$0.36	CA$0.78 +112.3%	3.2%	CA$0.80	CA$0.75	n/a	2
Nov ’25	CA$0.38	CA$0.78 +103.9%	3.2%	CA$0.80	CA$0.75	n/a	2
Oct ’25	CA$0.37	CA$0.78 +109.5%	3.2%	CA$0.80	CA$0.75	n/a	2
Sep ’25	CA$0.40	CA$0.78 +93.8%	3.2%	CA$0.80	CA$0.75	n/a	2
Jul ’24	CA$0.16	CA$0.60 +275.0%	33.3%	CA$0.80	CA$0.40	CA$0.23	2
Jun ’24	CA$0.14	CA$0.60 +344.4%	33.3%	CA$0.80	CA$0.40	CA$0.27	2
May ’24	CA$0.12	CA$0.60 +421.7%	33.3%	CA$0.80	CA$0.40	CA$0.26	2
Apr ’24	CA$0.10	CA$0.60 +471.4%	33.3%	CA$0.80	CA$0.40	CA$0.38	2
Mar ’24	CA$0.12	CA$0.60 +400.0%	33.3%	CA$0.80	CA$0.40	CA$0.27	2
Feb ’24	CA$0.13	CA$0.60 +361.5%	33.3%	CA$0.80	CA$0.40	CA$0.27	2
Nov ’23	CA$0.16	CA$0.70 +337.5%	14.3%	CA$0.80	CA$0.60	CA$0.13	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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