Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Atico Mining (CVE:ATY) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

TSXV:ATY
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Atico Mining Corporation (CVE:ATY) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Atico Mining

What Is Atico Mining's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Atico Mining had debt of US$20.1m, up from US$9.61m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$18.1m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.99m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:ATY Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2022

A Look At Atico Mining's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Atico Mining had liabilities of US$21.5m due within a year, and liabilities of US$37.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$18.1m and US$18.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$22.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$36.4m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Atico Mining's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With debt at a measly 0.059 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 17.5 times, it's clear that Atico Mining is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Atico Mining has boosted its EBIT by 32%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Atico Mining's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Atico Mining reported free cash flow worth 19% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

The good news is that Atico Mining's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Atico Mining can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Atico Mining that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:ATY

Atico Mining

Engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of copper and gold projects in Latin America.

Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.

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