Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts Andean Precious Metals Corp. (CVE:APM) Shares 35% But It Can Do More

TSXV:APM
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Andean Precious Metals Corp. (CVE:APM) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 35% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 16% is also fairly reasonable.

Although its price has surged higher, Andean Precious Metals may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 16x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Andean Precious Metals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:APM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 9th 2024

How Andean Precious Metals Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Andean Precious Metals as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Andean Precious Metals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Andean Precious Metals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 16% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 4.1% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 95% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Andean Precious Metals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Andean Precious Metals' P/S?

Andean Precious Metals' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

A look at Andean Precious Metals' revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Andean Precious Metals that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.