Winpak Valuation

Is WPK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WPK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WPK (CA$45) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$25.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WPK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WPK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for WPK. This is calculated by dividing WPK's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is WPK's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$2.09b

WPK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	7.3x
PEG Ratio	2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WPK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WPK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	13.2x
TCL.A Transcontinental	12.2x	8.6%	CA$1.4b
CCL.B CCL Industries	21.3x	10.1%	CA$14.5b
RPI.UN Richards Packaging Income Fund	8.5x	n/a	CA$331.4m
EQX Equinox Gold	11x	13.7%	CA$3.6b
WPK Winpak	14.6x	5.9%	CA$2.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WPK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (13.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WPK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Packaging Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	12.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	12.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WPK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the North American Packaging industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WPK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WPK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	14.6x
Fair PE Ratio	14.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WPK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WPK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CA$45.00	CA$50.57 +12.4%	0.9%	CA$51.02	CA$50.11	n/a	2
Sep ’25	CA$45.62	CA$50.57 +10.8%	0.9%	CA$51.02	CA$50.11	n/a	2
Aug ’25	CA$47.39	CA$50.57 +6.7%	0.9%	CA$51.02	CA$50.11	n/a	2
Jul ’25	CA$44.65	CA$47.46 +6.3%	3.0%	CA$48.90	CA$46.02	n/a	2
Jun ’25	CA$43.62	CA$47.46 +8.8%	3.0%	CA$48.90	CA$46.02	n/a	2
May ’25	CA$43.12	CA$47.47 +10.1%	3.2%	CA$48.96	CA$45.97	n/a	2
Apr ’25	CA$40.29	CA$45.34 +12.5%	1.1%	CA$45.81	CA$44.86	n/a	2
Mar ’25	CA$40.46	CA$46.47 +14.8%	3.1%	CA$48.45	CA$44.99	n/a	3
Feb ’25	CA$42.28	CA$45.92 +8.6%	3.4%	CA$48.10	CA$44.50	n/a	3
Jan ’25	CA$40.90	CA$44.95 +9.9%	0.9%	CA$45.37	CA$44.40	n/a	3
Dec ’24	CA$39.30	CA$46.01 +17.1%	0.9%	CA$46.59	CA$45.60	n/a	3
Nov ’24	CA$37.97	CA$46.41 +22.2%	1.0%	CA$47.04	CA$46.04	n/a	3
Oct ’24	CA$38.63	CA$49.72 +28.7%	4.3%	CA$52.24	CA$46.98	n/a	3
Sep ’24	CA$40.40	CA$49.72 +23.1%	4.3%	CA$52.24	CA$46.98	CA$45.62	3
Aug ’24	CA$40.14	CA$49.14 +22.4%	3.3%	CA$51.24	CA$47.22	CA$47.39	3
Jul ’24	CA$41.21	CA$51.03 +23.8%	4.1%	CA$52.99	CA$48.09	CA$44.65	3
Jun ’24	CA$42.84	CA$51.60 +20.4%	4.0%	CA$53.90	CA$48.91	CA$43.62	3
May ’24	CA$45.84	CA$51.60 +12.6%	4.0%	CA$53.90	CA$48.91	CA$43.12	3
Apr ’24	CA$42.93	CA$51.10 +19.0%	3.0%	CA$52.42	CA$48.94	CA$40.29	3
Mar ’24	CA$42.68	CA$51.10 +19.7%	3.0%	CA$52.43	CA$48.94	CA$40.46	3
Feb ’24	CA$41.79	CA$51.52 +23.3%	1.6%	CA$52.30	CA$50.36	CA$42.28	3
Jan ’24	CA$42.06	CA$54.47 +29.5%	6.0%	CA$59.96	CA$51.97	CA$40.90	4
Dec ’23	CA$43.37	CA$54.47 +25.6%	6.0%	CA$59.96	CA$51.97	CA$39.30	4
Nov ’23	CA$41.51	CA$54.47 +31.2%	6.0%	CA$59.96	CA$51.97	CA$37.97	4
Oct ’23	CA$44.93	CA$53.28 +18.6%	4.2%	CA$56.68	CA$50.74	CA$38.63	4
Sep ’23	CA$43.62	CA$53.28 +22.1%	4.2%	CA$56.68	CA$50.74	CA$40.40	4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.