Stella-Jones Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Stella-Jones is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.7% and 4.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.7% in 3 years.
Key information
6.7%
Earnings growth rate
10.16%
EPS growth rate
| Forestry earnings growth | 48.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.7% |
| Future return on equity | 15.67% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • 12h
Stella-Jones Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. Results look...Analysis Article • Nov 07
Analysts Are Updating Their Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ) Estimates After Its Third-Quarter Results
It's been a good week for Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest...Analysis Article • Mar 02
Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ) Just Released Its Annual Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Last week saw the newest yearly earnings release from Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ), an important milestone in the...Analysis Article • Nov 09
Earnings Miss: Stella-Jones Inc. Missed EPS By 20% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. Results showed...Recent updates
Analysis Article • 12h
Stella-Jones Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. Results look...
Narrative Update • May 04
SJ: Capital Returns And Mixed Ratings Will Shape Future Share Performance
The updated analyst price target for Stella-Jones edges slightly lower to CA$99.00, with analysts pointing to modest tweaks in fair value, discount rate, and assumed future P/E as they recalibrate their views following recent mixed target changes and a downgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Stella-Jones reflects a mix of optimism around execution and earnings power alongside some emerging caution on valuation and risk-reward at current levels.Narrative Update • Apr 20
SJ: Higher Discount Rate And Capital Returns Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Stella-Jones to CA$99.89 from CA$101.44, as a slightly higher discount rate and more moderate revenue growth and profit margin assumptions temper the impact of recent price target increases from CIBC, Scotiabank and RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Stella-Jones reflects a mix of optimism on execution and caution on valuation and future growth assumptions.Narrative Update • Apr 05
SJ: Higher Price Assumptions And Capital Returns Will Shape Future Share Performance
Narrative Update on Stella-Jones Analysts have nudged their outlook higher on Stella-Jones, with recent Street research pointing to price targets of CA$95, CA$99, and CA$102. These are supported by updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, which keep fair value estimates broadly in line with prior levels.Narrative Update • Mar 21
SJ: Higher P/E Assumptions And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their outlook on Stella-Jones higher, with recent Street research showing price targets moving to CA$95, CA$99, and CA$102. These changes reflect incremental adjustments to assumptions such as the discount rate and forward P/E, while keeping fair value estimates broadly steady.Narrative Update • Mar 07
SJ: Recent Dividend And P/E Assumptions Will Shape A Steadily Fair Profile
The analyst price target for Stella-Jones has been lifted by about CA$4 to roughly CA$101, as analysts factor in adjustments to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions that are broadly consistent with recent target increases from CIBC, Scotiabank and RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a cluster of modest price target lifts for Stella-Jones, with targets now cited around the mid to high CA$90s and just above CA$100.Narrative Update • Feb 20
SJ: Utility Modernization And Acquisitions Will Shape A Steadily Fairly Valued Profile
Analysts have nudged their price target on Stella Jones slightly higher to about CA$97 from roughly CA$96, reflecting modest tweaks to fair value estimates, a slightly lower discount rate, and a marginally higher assumed future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: CA$96.06 adjusted to CA$97.17, a small move higher reflecting modest model changes.Narrative Update • Feb 06
SJ: Utility Modernization And Acquisitions Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Profile
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for Stella-Jones to about C$96 from roughly C$95. They point to expectations that the company can build on its role as a diversified platform supporting utility infrastructure modernization and a potential acquisitive phase in transmission and distribution spending.Analysis Article • Jan 30
Is Stella-Jones (TSE:SJ) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Narrative Update • Jan 23
SJ: Utility Modernization Platform And Acquisitions Will Shape Fairly Valued Shares
Our fair value estimate for Stella-Jones nudged from C$95.00 to about C$94.94 as analysts balance a new C$100 Outperform initiation, which highlights long term infrastructure and acquisition potential, with a C$89 price target trim from another firm that remains Neutral on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see room for a re-rating as Stella-Jones is described as moving from a mature wood products consolidator into a broader platform tied to utility infrastructure modernization, which they link directly to their C$100 price target.Narrative Update • Jan 09
SJ: Utility Modernization And Acquisitions Will Test Fairly Valued Shares
Narrative update on Stella-Jones The analyst price target for Stella-Jones has shifted modestly around the C$88 to C$100 range, as analysts point to a potential re rating opportunity tied to the company’s role in utility infrastructure modernization and an expected acquisitive phase, while others have trimmed targets and moved to more neutral stances. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Stella-Jones shows a mix of optimism around its role in utility infrastructure and more cautious views that focus on valuation and near term execution risk.Narrative Update • Dec 20
SJ: Utility Infrastructure Modernization Acquisitions And Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Stella-Jones higher, lifting the price target to about $95 from roughly $93.56. This reflects slightly stronger long term revenue growth expectations and a modestly higher earnings multiple, as the company is viewed as entering an acquisitive, infrastructure driven expansion phase.Analysis Article • Dec 10
An Intrinsic Calculation For Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ) Suggests It's 32% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Stella-Jones is CA$123 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Narrative Update • Dec 06
SJ: Utility Infrastructure Modernization And Acquisitions Will Shape Performance From Here
Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Stella-Jones, pointing to a C$100 upside case. This view is anchored in expectations for an acquisitive growth phase and a long runway in utility infrastructure modernization, despite only slight tweaks to growth, discount rate, and margin assumptions.Narrative Update • Nov 21
SJ: Infrastructure Spending And Execution Risks Will Drive Performance Going Forward
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Stella-Jones from C$89.63 to C$93.56. They cite a shift towards higher profit margins and anticipated multi-year infrastructure growth as drivers of the increase.Analysis Article • Nov 07
Analysts Are Updating Their Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ) Estimates After Its Third-Quarter Results
It's been a good week for Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest...Narrative Update • Nov 07
SJ: Revenue Outlook And Industry Headwinds Will Shape Performance Ahead
The analyst consensus price target for Stella-Jones has increased by approximately C$4 to C$89.63. This reflects analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth and profitability metrics in the latest forecasts.Analysis Article • Oct 07
Stella-Jones Inc.'s (TSE:SJ) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider...Analysis Article • Sep 08
Stella-Jones (TSE:SJ) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Aug 05
Stella-Jones (TSE:SJ) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
TSX:SJ 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Stella-Jones's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Did you...Analysis Article • Jul 02
Benign Growth For Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ) Underpins Its Share Price
When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 16x, you may consider...Analysis Article • May 31
We Think Stella-Jones (TSE:SJ) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Apr 30
Shareholders Would Not Be Objecting To Stella-Jones Inc.'s (TSE:SJ) CEO Compensation And Here's Why
Key Insights Stella-Jones will host its Annual General Meeting on 7th of May CEO Eric Vachon's total compensation...Analysis Article • Mar 05
Stella-Jones (TSE:SJ) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 18th of April to...Analysis Article • Mar 02
Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ) Just Released Its Annual Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Last week saw the newest yearly earnings release from Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ), an important milestone in the...Analysis Article • Feb 18
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Stella-Jones (TSE:SJ)
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two...
New Narrative • Feb 07
Acquisitions And Utility Pole Demand Will Strengthen Future Performance
Strategic acquisitions and sustained demand for utility poles are expected to drive higher sales and profitability for Stella-Jones.Analysis Article • Feb 03
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ)
Key Insights Stella-Jones' estimated fair value is CA$67.21 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With CA$70.13...Analysis Article • Jan 18
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Stella-Jones (TSE:SJ) Presents An Opportunity
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Analysis Article • Nov 15
Stella-Jones Inc.'s (TSE:SJ) 25% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings
The Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25...Analysis Article • Nov 09
Earnings Miss: Stella-Jones Inc. Missed EPS By 20% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Stella-Jones Inc. ( TSE:SJ ) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. Results showed...Analysis Article • Nov 06
Returns At Stella-Jones (TSE:SJ) Are On The Way Up
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...Analysis Article • Oct 07
A Look At The Fair Value Of Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ)
Key Insights Stella-Jones' estimated fair value is CA$105 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With CA$91.33 share...Analysis Article • Aug 23
Investor Optimism Abounds Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ) But Growth Is Lacking
It's not a stretch to say that Stella-Jones Inc.'s ( TSE:SJ ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.2x right now...Analysis Article • Aug 04
Stella-Jones (TSE:SJ) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analysis Article • Jun 28
Stella-Jones Inc. (TSE:SJ) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Stella-Jones' estimated fair value is CA$173 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Stella-Jones is...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 4,019 | 368 | 325 | 440 | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 3,794 | 336 | 273 | 425 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,652 | 318 | 284 | 426 | 8 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,510 | 304 | 517 | 620 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,492 | 337 | 445 | 557 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,495 | 339 | 389 | 513 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,452 | 331 | 360 | 501 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,467 | 335 | 314 | 454 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,469 | 319 | 265 | 408 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,427 | 323 | 133 | 283 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,461 | 353 | 71 | 227 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,384 | 343 | 20 | 177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,319 | 326 | -55 | 107 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,296 | 306 | -54 | 95 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,189 | 261 | 30 | 158 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,124 | 255 | 147 | 259 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,065 | 241 | 151 | 255 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,945 | 227 | 196 | 279 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,782 | 196 | 237 | 311 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,778 | 217 | 186 | 256 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,750 | 227 | 189 | 251 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,738 | 239 | 166 | 234 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,801 | 284 | 89 | 157 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,666 | 238 | 67 | 130 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,551 | 210 | 123 | 178 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,463 | 204 | 169 | 218 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,352 | 179 | 145 | 194 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,251 | 162 | 7 | 73 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,189 | 163 | N/A | 90 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,177 | 156 | N/A | 112 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,176 | 147 | N/A | 79 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,171 | 144 | N/A | 117 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,124 | 138 | N/A | 128 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,068 | 168 | N/A | 113 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,956 | 164 | N/A | 197 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,888 | 165 | N/A | 229 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,886 | 168 | N/A | 301 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,851 | 135 | N/A | 282 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,845 | 139 | N/A | 235 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,814 | 145 | N/A | 173 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,838 | 154 | N/A | 182 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,854 | 168 | N/A | 152 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,775 | 162 | N/A | 80 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,640 | 146 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,559 | 141 | N/A | 7 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,492 | 131 | N/A | 49 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 1,416 | 122 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: SJ's forecast earnings growth (6.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).
Earnings vs Market: SJ's earnings (6.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (10.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: SJ's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: SJ's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (4.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: SJ's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: SJ's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.7%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 22:18 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Stella-Jones Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jim Byrne | Acumen Capital Finance Partners Limited |
| Stephen Atkinson | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Hamir Patel | CIBC Capital Markets |