Rupert Resources Valuation

Is RUP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RUP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RUP (CA$4.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$33.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RUP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RUP?

Key metric: As RUP is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for RUP. This is calculated by dividing RUP's market cap by their current book value.
What is RUP's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio4.6x
BookCA$193.52m
Market CapCA$888.65m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does RUP's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for RUP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.4x
ARIS Aris Mining
0.9x112.5%CA$999.8m
PPTA Perpetua Resources
9x-27.0%CA$965.5m
AAUC Allied Gold
3.8x85.2%CA$1.1b
SGD Snowline Gold
12x-19.3%CA$781.5m
RUP Rupert Resources
4.6xn/aCA$888.7m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: RUP is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (6.4x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does RUP's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

90 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S Sherritt International
0.1xn/aUS$49.74m
WM Wallbridge Mining
0.2xn/aUS$46.71m
NCU Nevada Copper
0.1xn/aUS$31.56m
ELR Eastern Platinum
0.3xn/aUS$24.61m
RUP 4.6xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies158PB01.22.43.64.86+
90 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: RUP is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4.6x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (1.4x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RUP's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RUP PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio4.6x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RUP's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RUP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$4.08
CA$10.74
+163.2%
22.5%CA$14.50CA$8.20n/a5
Nov ’25CA$4.30
CA$10.74
+149.8%
22.5%CA$14.50CA$8.20n/a5
Oct ’25CA$3.99
CA$10.19
+155.4%
17.1%CA$12.75CA$8.20n/a5
Sep ’25CA$4.17
CA$9.59
+130.0%
18.9%CA$12.75CA$8.00n/a5
Aug ’25CA$3.59
CA$8.35
+132.6%
1.8%CA$8.50CA$8.20n/a2
Jul ’25CA$3.71
CA$9.44
+154.4%
16.5%CA$12.00CA$8.00n/a5
Jun ’25CA$4.35
CA$9.44
+117.0%
16.5%CA$12.00CA$8.00n/a5
May ’25CA$3.98
CA$9.44
+137.2%
16.5%CA$12.00CA$8.00n/a5
Apr ’25CA$3.71
CA$8.89
+139.6%
9.6%CA$10.25CA$8.00n/a5
Mar ’25CA$3.17
CA$8.89
+180.4%
9.6%CA$10.25CA$8.00n/a5
Feb ’25CA$3.28
CA$8.89
+171.0%
9.6%CA$10.25CA$8.00n/a5
Jan ’25CA$3.88
CA$8.60
+121.6%
6.8%CA$9.50CA$8.00n/a5
Dec ’24CA$4.00
CA$8.60
+115.0%
6.8%CA$9.50CA$8.00n/a5
Nov ’24CA$3.23
CA$8.60
+166.3%
6.8%CA$9.50CA$8.00CA$4.305
Oct ’24CA$3.09
CA$8.58
+177.8%
8.5%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$3.996
Sep ’24CA$3.72
CA$8.58
+130.7%
8.5%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$4.176
Aug ’24CA$3.83
CA$8.58
+124.1%
8.5%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$3.596
Jul ’24CA$4.26
CA$8.54
+100.5%
8.3%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$3.716
Jun ’24CA$3.88
CA$8.54
+120.1%
8.3%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$4.356
May ’24CA$4.47
CA$8.54
+91.1%
8.3%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$3.986
Apr ’24CA$4.36
CA$8.04
+84.4%
3.8%CA$8.50CA$7.50CA$3.716
Mar ’24CA$4.85
CA$8.04
+65.8%
3.8%CA$8.50CA$7.50CA$3.176
Feb ’24CA$4.85
CA$8.30
+71.1%
4.8%CA$9.00CA$8.00CA$3.285
Jan ’24CA$4.98
CA$7.60
+52.6%
10.5%CA$8.00CA$6.00CA$3.885
Dec ’23CA$5.05
CA$7.60
+50.5%
10.5%CA$8.00CA$6.00CA$4.005
Nov ’23CA$3.95
CA$7.55
+91.1%
18.3%CA$10.00CA$6.00CA$3.235

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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