Probe Gold Valuation

Is PRB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PRB's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PRB's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRB?

Key metric: As PRB is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for PRB. This is calculated by dividing PRB's market cap by their current book value.
What is PRB's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio12.6x
BookCA$22.03m
Market CapCA$273.53m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does PRB's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for PRB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.3x
MAW Mawson Gold
14.3xn/aCA$306.1m
ORE Orezone Gold
0.9x72.1%CA$279.4m
ELE Elemental Altus Royalties
1.3xn/aCA$280.2m
JAG Jaguar Mining
0.8xn/aCA$299.8m
PRB Probe Gold
12.6x-1.2%CA$273.5m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: PRB is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (12.6x) compared to the peer average (4.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does PRB's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

90 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S Sherritt International
0.1xn/aUS$49.74m
WM Wallbridge Mining
0.2xn/aUS$46.71m
NCU Nevada Copper
0.1xn/aUS$31.56m
ELR Eastern Platinum
0.3xn/aUS$24.61m
PRB 12.6xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies158PB01.22.43.64.86+
90 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: PRB is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (12.6x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (1.4x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRB's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRB PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio12.6x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PRB's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PRB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$1.53
CA$3.27
+113.7%
16.1%CA$3.75CA$2.25n/a5
Nov ’25CA$1.64
CA$3.27
+99.4%
16.1%CA$3.75CA$2.25n/a5
Oct ’25CA$1.69
CA$3.07
+81.7%
16.1%CA$3.50CA$2.25n/a5
Sep ’25CA$1.30
CA$2.83
+117.7%
12.7%CA$3.35CA$2.25n/a5
Aug ’25CA$1.19
CA$2.83
+137.8%
12.7%CA$3.35CA$2.25n/a5
Jul ’25CA$1.23
CA$2.85
+131.7%
14.0%CA$3.35CA$2.25n/a4
Jun ’25CA$1.30
CA$2.88
+121.2%
4.5%CA$3.00CA$2.70n/a4
May ’25CA$1.51
CA$3.02
+99.8%
7.6%CA$3.35CA$2.70n/a6
Apr ’25CA$1.54
CA$2.93
+90.5%
7.5%CA$3.35CA$2.70n/a6
Mar ’25CA$1.33
CA$2.93
+120.6%
7.5%CA$3.35CA$2.70n/a6
Feb ’25CA$1.29
CA$3.02
+133.9%
7.6%CA$3.35CA$2.70n/a6
Jan ’25CA$1.34
CA$3.06
+128.4%
7.4%CA$3.35CA$2.70n/a5
Dec ’24CA$1.46
CA$3.06
+109.6%
7.4%CA$3.35CA$2.70n/a5
Nov ’24CA$1.38
CA$3.06
+121.7%
7.4%CA$3.35CA$2.70CA$1.645
Oct ’24CA$1.50
CA$3.08
+105.6%
6.9%CA$3.35CA$2.70CA$1.696
Sep ’24CA$1.52
CA$3.08
+102.9%
6.9%CA$3.35CA$2.70CA$1.306
Aug ’24CA$1.66
CA$3.08
+85.7%
6.9%CA$3.35CA$2.70CA$1.196
Jul ’24CA$1.52
CA$3.34
+119.8%
23.3%CA$5.00CA$2.70CA$1.236
Jun ’24CA$1.66
CA$3.26
+96.3%
24.9%CA$5.00CA$2.70CA$1.306
May ’24CA$1.58
CA$3.26
+106.2%
24.9%CA$5.00CA$2.70CA$1.516
Apr ’24CA$1.47
CA$3.36
+128.6%
25.3%CA$5.00CA$2.70CA$1.545
Mar ’24CA$1.33
CA$3.18
+138.7%
27.0%CA$5.00CA$2.50CA$1.336
Feb ’24CA$1.60
CA$3.13
+95.8%
28.2%CA$5.00CA$2.45CA$1.296
Jan ’24CA$1.27
CA$3.03
+138.8%
31.3%CA$5.00CA$2.25CA$1.346
Dec ’23CA$1.28
CA$3.03
+137.0%
31.3%CA$5.00CA$2.25CA$1.466
Nov ’23CA$1.14
CA$3.12
+173.4%
29.2%CA$5.00CA$2.35CA$1.386

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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