Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Verde AgriTech Limited (TSE:NPK) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
How Much Debt Does Verde AgriTech Carry?
As you can see below, Verde AgriTech had CA$39.7m of debt at December 2024, down from CA$46.1m a year prior. On the flip side, it has CA$3.48m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$36.2m.
A Look At Verde AgriTech's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Verde AgriTech had liabilities of CA$2.06m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$39.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$3.48m as well as receivables valued at CA$6.35m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$31.9m.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CA$28.4m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Verde AgriTech will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Check out our latest analysis for Verde AgriTech
In the last year Verde AgriTech had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 43%, to CA$22m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Verde AgriTech's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$7.9m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through CA$2.8m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Verde AgriTech has 3 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:NPK
Verde AgriTech
An agricultural technology company, produces and sells potassium fertilizers in Brazil and internationally.
Low with imperfect balance sheet.
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