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- TSX:NIF.UN
Here's What To Make Of Noranda Income Fund's (TSE:NIF.UN) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Noranda Income Fund (TSE:NIF.UN) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Noranda Income Fund, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.012 = US$4.2m ÷ (US$465m - US$105m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
So, Noranda Income Fund has an ROCE of 1.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Metals and Mining industry average of 0.5%.
See our latest analysis for Noranda Income Fund
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Noranda Income Fund's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Noranda Income Fund's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 29% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
On a related note, Noranda Income Fund has decreased its current liabilities to 23% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Bottom Line On Noranda Income Fund's ROCE
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Noranda Income Fund's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 44% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Noranda Income Fund does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 2 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About TSX:NIF.UN
Mediocre balance sheet with questionable track record.