NextSource Materials Inc.

TSX:NEXT Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$92.5m

NextSource Materials Valuation

Is NEXT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NEXT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NEXT's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NEXT's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NEXT?

Key metric: As NEXT is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for NEXT. This is calculated by dividing NEXT's market cap by their current book value.
What is NEXT's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.4x
BookUS$49.10m
Market CapUS$66.15m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does NEXT's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for NEXT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average71x
NCX NorthIsle Copper and Gold
8.7xn/aCA$103.8m
HMR Homerun Resources
272.2xn/aCA$98.5m
FPC Falco Resources
2.1xn/aCA$102.3m
GPH Graphite One
1.2xn/aCA$101.4m
NEXT NextSource Materials
1.4x13.3%CA$92.5m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: NEXT is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (71x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does NEXT's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

90 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S Sherritt International
0.1xn/aUS$49.74m
WM Wallbridge Mining
0.2xn/aUS$46.71m
NCU Nevada Copper
0.1xn/aUS$31.56m
ELR Eastern Platinum
0.3xn/aUS$24.61m
NEXT 1.4xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies158PB01.22.43.64.86+
90 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: NEXT is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.4x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (1.4x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NEXT's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NEXT PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NEXT's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NEXT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$0.52
CA$2.45
+371.2%
46.9%CA$3.60CA$1.30n/a2
Nov ’25CA$0.60
CA$2.45
+308.3%
46.9%CA$3.60CA$1.30n/a2
Oct ’25CA$0.62
CA$2.30
+271.0%
56.5%CA$3.60CA$1.00n/a2
Sep ’25CA$0.70
CA$2.30
+228.6%
56.5%CA$3.60CA$1.00n/a2
Aug ’25CA$0.79
CA$2.30
+191.1%
56.5%CA$3.60CA$1.00n/a2
Jul ’25CA$0.89
CA$2.87
+222.1%
46.4%CA$4.00CA$1.00n/a3
Jun ’25CA$0.90
CA$2.87
+218.5%
46.4%CA$4.00CA$1.00n/a3
May ’25CA$0.65
CA$3.80
+484.6%
5.3%CA$4.00CA$3.60n/a2
Apr ’25CA$0.77
CA$3.80
+393.5%
5.3%CA$4.00CA$3.60n/a2
Mar ’25CA$0.67
CA$3.80
+467.2%
5.3%CA$4.00CA$3.60n/a2
Feb ’25CA$0.87
CA$3.80
+336.8%
5.3%CA$4.00CA$3.60n/a2
Jan ’25CA$1.20
CA$3.80
+216.7%
5.3%CA$4.00CA$3.60n/a2
Dec ’24CA$1.19
CA$5.25
+341.2%
23.8%CA$6.50CA$4.00n/a2
Nov ’24CA$1.38
CA$5.25
+280.4%
23.8%CA$6.50CA$4.00CA$0.602
Oct ’24CA$1.27
CA$5.25
+313.4%
23.8%CA$6.50CA$4.00CA$0.622
Sep ’24CA$1.55
CA$5.50
+254.8%
27.3%CA$7.00CA$4.00CA$0.702
Aug ’24CA$1.67
CA$5.50
+229.3%
27.3%CA$7.00CA$4.00CA$0.792
Jul ’24CA$1.91
CA$5.50
+188.0%
27.3%CA$7.00CA$4.00CA$0.892
Dec ’23CA$2.75
CA$6.28
+128.2%
4.4%CA$6.55CA$6.00CA$1.192
Nov ’23CA$2.41
CA$6.40
+165.6%
6.3%CA$6.80CA$6.00CA$1.382

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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