Neo Performance Materials Inc. Just Beat EPS By 7.7%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Neo Performance Materials Inc. (TSE:NEO) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. The company beat expectations with revenues of US$115m arriving 5.2% ahead of forecasts. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) were US$0.14, 7.7% ahead of estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from dual analysts covering Neo Performance Materials is for revenues of US$458.3m in 2025. This implies a measurable 5.0% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Neo Performance Materials is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.25 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$453.6m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.42 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a pretty serious reduction to EPS estimates.
See our latest analysis for Neo Performance Materials
Althoughthe analysts have revised their earnings forecasts for next year, they've also lifted the consensus price target 11% to CA$21.33, suggesting the revised estimates are not indicative of a weaker long-term future for the business.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 9.8% annualised decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 5.0% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 3.3% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Neo Performance Materials' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Neo Performance Materials. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Neo Performance Materials' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Neo Performance Materials that you need to be mindful of.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Neo Performance Materials might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:NEO
Neo Performance Materials
Engages in the manufacture and sale of rare earth, magnetic powders, magnets, and rare metal-based functional materials in China, Japan, Thailand, South Korea, North America, Europe, and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.
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