3 TSX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Their Fair Value In October 2025

Simply Wall St

As the Canadian market celebrates the third anniversary of its bull run, with the TSX having gained 67% since October 2022, investors are navigating a landscape shaped by cooling inflation and trade uncertainties. In this environment, identifying stocks trading below their fair value can be particularly appealing, offering potential opportunities for growth amidst broader market challenges.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Canada

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Vitalhub (TSX:VHI)CA$10.88CA$18.8442.3%
Savaria (TSX:SIS)CA$22.06CA$41.1146.3%
Neo Performance Materials (TSX:NEO)CA$19.87CA$34.5142.4%
Magellan Aerospace (TSX:MAL)CA$17.52CA$28.2037.9%
Haivision Systems (TSX:HAI)CA$5.09CA$8.2438.2%
Boyd Group Services (TSX:BYD)CA$217.20CA$365.5240.6%
Bird Construction (TSX:BDT)CA$30.56CA$56.5245.9%
Artemis Gold (TSXV:ARTG)CA$33.46CA$63.7547.5%
Aritzia (TSX:ATZ)CA$95.05CA$159.3440.3%
Americas Gold and Silver (TSX:USA)CA$5.65CA$9.8042.3%

Click here to see the full list of 24 stocks from our Undervalued TSX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We're going to check out a few of the best picks from our screener tool.

Magellan Aerospace (TSX:MAL)

Overview: Magellan Aerospace Corporation, with a market cap of CA$1 billion, engineers and manufactures aeroengine and aerostructure components for aerospace markets in Canada, the United States, and Europe.

Operations: The company's revenue segment primarily comprises aerospace, generating CA$974.91 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 37.9%

Magellan Aerospace is trading at CA$17.52, significantly below its estimated fair value of CA$28.2, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. The company reported increased sales for the first half of 2025, though net income showed mixed results compared to last year. Earnings are forecast to grow at 33.22% annually, outpacing the Canadian market's growth rate and suggesting potential for future financial strength despite recent profit fluctuations.

TSX:MAL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Neo Performance Materials (TSX:NEO)

Overview: Neo Performance Materials Inc. manufactures and sells rare earth, magnetic powders, magnets, and rare metal-based functional materials across various global markets with a market cap of CA$826.57 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Magnequench at $183.81 million, Rare Metals at $155.67 million, and Chemicals & Oxides at $148.47 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 42.4%

Neo Performance Materials, trading at CA$19.87, is priced 42.4% below its estimated fair value of CA$34.51, reflecting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent earnings showed a substantial rise in net income to US$5.77 million from US$0.859 million year-over-year, with revenue growth forecasted to outpace the Canadian market at 10.2% annually. Strategic expansions and partnerships, like the new facility in Estonia and collaboration with Bosch, bolster its future growth trajectory despite low dividend coverage by earnings or free cash flow.

TSX:NEO Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Timbercreek Financial (TSX:TF)

Overview: Timbercreek Financial Corp. offers shorter-duration structured financing solutions to commercial real estate investors in Canada, with a market cap of CA$603.27 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segment is primarily derived from Financial Services - Mortgage, amounting to CA$67.32 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35.9%

Timbercreek Financial, trading at CA$7.29, is priced 35.9% below its estimated fair value of CA$11.37, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a dividend yield of 9.47%, coverage by earnings or free cash flow remains inadequate. Earnings are forecast to grow at 18.81% annually, outpacing the Canadian market's growth rate of 11.9%. Recent credit facility expansion to $600 million demonstrates lender confidence in Timbercreek’s strategic direction and financial stability amidst growing revenue projections.

TSX:TF Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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