Stock Analysis

Great week for Mandalay Resources Corporation (TSE:MND) institutional investors after losing 7.6% over the previous year

Published
TSX:MND

Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Mandalay Resources implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • A total of 3 investors have a majority stake in the company with 62% ownership
  • Using data from company's past performance alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Mandalay Resources Corporation (TSE:MND), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 33% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

Last week's CA$18m market cap gain would probably be appreciated by institutional investors, especially after a year of 7.6% losses.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Mandalay Resources.

Check out our latest analysis for Mandalay Resources

TSX:MND Ownership Breakdown December 2nd 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Mandalay Resources?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that Mandalay Resources does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Mandalay Resources' earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

TSX:MND Earnings and Revenue Growth December 2nd 2023

Our data indicates that hedge funds own 19% of Mandalay Resources. That's interesting, because hedge funds can be quite active and activist. Many look for medium term catalysts that will drive the share price higher. Plinian Capital LLP is currently the company's largest shareholder with 25% of shares outstanding. The second and third largest shareholders are Ruffer LLP and GMT Capital Corp., with an equal amount of shares to their name at 19%.

A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 3 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 62% stake.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There is a little analyst coverage of the stock, but not much. So there is room for it to gain more coverage.

Insider Ownership Of Mandalay Resources

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

We can see that insiders own shares in Mandalay Resources Corporation. As individuals, the insiders collectively own CA$4.1m worth of the CA$178m company. This shows at least some alignment, but we usually like to see larger insider holdings. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 21% stake in Mandalay Resources. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Private Equity Ownership

With a stake of 25%, private equity firms could influence the Mandalay Resources board. Some investors might be encouraged by this, since private equity are sometimes able to encourage strategies that help the market see the value in the company. Alternatively, those holders might be exiting the investment after taking it public.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Mandalay Resources better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Mandalay Resources , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.