Stock Analysis

NanoXplore (TSE:GRA) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies NanoXplore Inc. (TSE:GRA) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for NanoXplore

How Much Debt Does NanoXplore Carry?

As you can see below, NanoXplore had CA$13.2m of debt at March 2022, down from CA$15.2m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CA$56.1m in cash, so it actually has CA$42.9m net cash.

TSX:GRA Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2022

How Healthy Is NanoXplore's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, NanoXplore had liabilities of CA$26.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$21.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$56.1m and CA$19.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CA$26.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that NanoXplore has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that NanoXplore has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NanoXplore's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year NanoXplore wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 46%, to CA$85m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

So How Risky Is NanoXplore?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months NanoXplore lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CA$24m and booked a CA$17m accounting loss. With only CA$42.9m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, NanoXplore may be on a path to profitability. Pre-profit companies are often risky, but they can also offer great rewards. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for NanoXplore you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether NanoXplore is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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