Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For GoGold Resources Inc. (TSE:GGD) Even After Diving 31%

TSX:GGD
Source: Shutterstock

The GoGold Resources Inc. (TSE:GGD) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 31%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 52% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in Canada's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may still consider GoGold Resources as a stock not worth researching with its 8.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for GoGold Resources

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:GGD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 28th 2024

What Does GoGold Resources' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

GoGold Resources could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on GoGold Resources.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

GoGold Resources' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 36% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 57% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 13%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why GoGold Resources' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does GoGold Resources' P/S Mean For Investors?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate GoGold Resources' very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look into GoGold Resources shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for GoGold Resources with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of GoGold Resources' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.