Stock Analysis

Ero Copper Corp.'s (TSE:ERO) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

TSX:ERO
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Ero Copper Corp.'s (TSE:ERO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Ero Copper has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Ero Copper

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:ERO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 28th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ero Copper.

Is There Enough Growth For Ero Copper?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Ero Copper's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 62% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 79% per year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 7.8% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Ero Copper is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Ero Copper's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Ero Copper has 4 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ero Copper, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ero Copper might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.