Stock Analysis

An excellent week for Ero Copper Corp.'s (TSE:ERO) institutional owners who own 62% as one-year returns inch higher

Published
TSX:ERO

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Ero Copper's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • The top 8 shareholders own 51% of the company
  • Insiders own 10% of Ero Copper

A look at the shareholders of Ero Copper Corp. (TSE:ERO) can tell us which group is most powerful. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 62% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And last week, institutional investors ended up benefitting the most after the company hit CA$2.9b in market cap. One-year return to shareholders is currently 4.9% and last week’s gain was the icing on the cake.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Ero Copper, beginning with the chart below.

See our latest analysis for Ero Copper

TSX:ERO Ownership Breakdown May 2nd 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Ero Copper?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

We can see that Ero Copper does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Ero Copper, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

TSX:ERO Earnings and Revenue Growth May 2nd 2024

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. It would appear that 7.5% of Ero Copper shares are controlled by hedge funds. That catches my attention because hedge funds sometimes try to influence management, or bring about changes that will create near term value for shareholders. Our data shows that T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is the largest shareholder with 16% of shares outstanding. With 11% and 7.5% of the shares outstanding respectively, FMR LLC and GMT Capital Corp. are the second and third largest shareholders. Additionally, the company's CEO David Strang directly holds 4.2% of the total shares outstanding.

We did some more digging and found that 8 of the top shareholders account for roughly 51% of the register, implying that along with larger shareholders, there are a few smaller shareholders, thereby balancing out each others interests somewhat.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Ero Copper

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own a reasonable proportion of Ero Copper Corp.. Insiders own CA$294m worth of shares in the CA$2.9b company. That's quite meaningful. Most would be pleased to see the board is investing alongside them. You may wish to access this free chart showing recent trading by insiders.

General Public Ownership

With a 20% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Ero Copper. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Ero Copper (1 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ero Copper might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.