Eldorado Gold Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Eldorado Gold is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20.9% and 21.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.8% in 3 years.
Key information
20.9%
Earnings growth rate
10.24%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining earnings growth | 19.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 21.2% |
| Future return on equity | 14.75% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 04 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
ELD: Ormaque Authorization And Proposed Foran Deal Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Eldorado Gold to CA$65.43 from CA$66.88, citing updated assumptions that combine slightly higher discount rates and profit margins with adjusted expectations for revenue growth and future P/E levels. What's in the News Eldorado Gold reported first quarter 2026 gold production of 100,358 ounces, a 13% decline from 115,893 ounces in the first quarter of 2025, mainly linked to planned lower tonnes and ore grades at Kisladag and lower grades at Efemcukuru, partly offset by higher grade and recoveries at Olympias and Lamaque (Key Developments).
ELD: Dividend Launch Will Support Future Rerating Despite Slightly Lower Fair Value
Analysts have slightly trimmed their CA$ price targets on Eldorado Gold as updated models reflect a marginally lower fair value, along with modest adjustments to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and a future P/E of 8.10x instead of 9.11x. What's in the News Eldorado Gold has initiated a quarterly dividend program, with an initial dividend of US$0.075 per common share payable on March 13, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 27, 2026 (Key Developments).ELD: Dividend Initiation And Leadership Transition Will Drive Future Rerating
Analysts have raised their CA$ fair value estimate for Eldorado Gold from about CA$76 to roughly CA$85, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Eldorado Gold has called on shareholders and securityholders to vote for issuing new common shares tied to its proposed plan of arrangement with Foran Mining, ahead of a special meeting on April 7, 2026.ELD: New Ormaque Authorization And Dividend Program Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Eldorado Gold to CA$66.88 from CA$53.46, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Eldorado Gold received Operating Authorization from Quebec's Ministry of the Environment, the Fight Against Climate Change, Wildlife and Parks for the Ormaque deposit at the Lamaque Complex.
ELD: New Payouts And Exploration Will Counterbalance Mixed Profitability Outlook
Analysts now place Eldorado Gold's price target at CA$52.01, up from CA$46.23, citing updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Eldorado Gold issued new production guidance for 2026 to 2028, outlining expected ranges for gold, silver, copper, lead and zinc output across its operations (Corporate guidance).ELD: Dividend Launch And Buybacks Will Mask Weaker Profitability Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Eldorado Gold to CA$46.23 from CA$45.34. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations.ELD: Rising Reserves And Buybacks Will Conceal Mounting Overvaluation Risk
Analysts have lifted their price target on Eldorado Gold by about US$5.47, reflecting updated views on fair value, growth expectations, and profitability assumptions for the company. What's in the News Eldorado Gold has initiated a regular quarterly dividend program, with an initial dividend of US$0.075 per common share payable on March 13, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 27, 2026 (Dividend Initiation).ELD: Higher Reserves And New Dividend Program Will Drive ReRating
Analysts have lifted their price target range on Eldorado Gold to reflect a fair value estimate shift from about $41.05 to roughly $75.88, as they factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Eldorado Gold completed a share repurchase program announced on July 31, 2025, buying back a total of 4,138,994 shares, or 2.05% of outstanding shares, for $116.85 million across tranches ending September 30 and December 31, 2025 (company filing).Eldorado Gold's (TSE:ELD) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
Jan 20
ELD: Higher Reserves And Buybacks Will Support Measured Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on Eldorado Gold by roughly $3.22 per share, citing updated assumptions that reflect slightly lower discount rates, revised revenue growth expectations, adjusted profit margin forecasts and a modest tweak to future P/E estimates. What's in the News Updated Mineral Reserve and Mineral Resource estimates as of September 30, 2025, indicate Proven and Probable gold reserves of 12.5 million ounces, described by the company as the highest reserve estimate since acquiring the Lamaque Complex in 2017, with an ongoing focus on mine life extension and near mine exploration in Canada and Turkiye (company MRMR announcement).ELD: Rising Reserves And Margins Will Mask Emerging Overvaluation Risk
Analysts have raised their price target on Eldorado Gold from approximately $29 to $40 per share, citing higher expected revenue growth and profit margins, along with a richer fair value assessment that more than offsets a modest uptick in the assumed discount rate and a lower projected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Updated mineral reserve and resource estimates show Proven and Probable gold reserves rising to 12.5 million ounces as of September 30, 2025, roughly a 5% increase versus the prior statement.Eldorado Gold Corporation's (TSE:ELD) 28% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Dec 21ELD: Rising Reserves And Buybacks Will Support Future Share Price Momentum
Analysts have nudged their price target on Eldorado Gold slightly higher to reflect a modest uptick in forecast revenue growth and valuation multiples, partially offset by a small reduction in expected profit margins and a higher discount rate that tempers the overall upside. What's in the News Updated Mineral Reserve and Mineral Resource estimates as of September 30, 2025 show Proven and Probable gold reserves rising to 12.5 million ounces, roughly 5 percent higher than the prior statement.ELD: Rising Profit Margins Will Drive Share Price Momentum Ahead
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Eldorado Gold from $50.17 to $50.23. They cite improving revenue growth projections and stronger profit margin expectations as the reasons for this adjustment.Eldorado Gold (TSE:ELD) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Nov 22ELD: Net Profit Margin Gains Will Drive Forward-Looking Share Price Momentum
Analysts have raised their price target on Eldorado Gold from $45.20 to $50.17, citing improved profit margins and a modestly higher discount rate as key factors supporting this outlook. What's in the News The company completed a buyback of 2,015,696 shares, representing 0.99% of outstanding shares, for $53.22 million by September 30, 2025.Analysts Raise Eldorado Gold Price Target as Valuation and Revenue Outlook Improve Amid Buybacks
Analysts have raised their price target for Eldorado Gold from approximately $40.79 to $45.20. They cite improved revenue growth forecasts and a modest increase in projected profit margins as the reasons for this adjustment.Skouries Commissioning Will Fuel Lasting Operational Transformation
Analyst Price Target for Eldorado Gold Rises on Improved Financial Outlook Analysts have raised their price target for Eldorado Gold from $36.53 to $40.79. They cite stronger anticipated revenue growth and profit margins as key factors supporting the upward revision.Skouries Commissioning Will Fuel Lasting Operational Transformation
The upward revision in Eldorado Gold’s price target is primarily driven by stronger revenue growth forecasts and a higher expected future P/E, resulting in a new fair value estimate of CA$36.53. What's in the News Announced a share repurchase program to buy back up to 10,159,967 shares (5% of shares outstanding) to enhance shareholder returns.Investors Will Want Eldorado Gold's (TSE:ELD) Growth In ROCE To Persist
Sep 07Skouries Commissioning Will Fuel Lasting Operational Transformation
The significant increase in Eldorado Gold’s future P/E ratio suggests heightened expectations for earnings growth or valuation multiples, while the consensus analyst price target remains effectively unchanged, edging up slightly to CA$35.09. What's in the News Eldorado Gold announced a share repurchase program, aiming to buy back up to 10,159,967 shares (5% of outstanding shares) to enhance shareholder returns.A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Eldorado Gold Corporation's (TSE:ELD) Share Price
Jul 10Should You Be Adding Eldorado Gold (TSE:ELD) To Your Watchlist Today?
Jun 13It Looks Like Shareholders Would Probably Approve Eldorado Gold Corporation's (TSE:ELD) CEO Compensation Package
May 27
Skouries And Olympias Expansions Will Increase Future Gold And Copper Output
Expansion efforts and operational optimizations at Olympias and Kisladag aim to boost production capacity and recovery rates for future revenue growth.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 4,173 | 1,533 | 1,405 | 1,899 | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 4,698 | 1,849 | 1,637 | 2,112 | 5 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,272 | 1,199 | 392 | 1,547 | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,996 | 584 | -310 | 753 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,819 | 520 | -169 | 742 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,677 | 376 | -91 | 716 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,574 | 420 | -6 | 727 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,420 | 340 | 20 | 688 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,323 | 301 | 31 | 656 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,194 | 285 | -30 | 548 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,107 | 177 | -47 | 475 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,039 | 122 | -33 | 437 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,009 | 106 | -29 | 383 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 948 | 129 | -42 | 320 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 921 | 107 | -49 | 264 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 905 | 83 | -93 | 217 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 872 | 24 | -79 | 211 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 870 | -124 | -61 | 228 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 891 | -87 | 2 | 281 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 911 | -33 | 42 | 305 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 941 | 21 | 88 | 362 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 975 | 84 | 114 | 371 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 1,024 | 130 | 219 | 460 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,047 | 148 | 297 | 510 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,027 | 131 | 281 | 470 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 940 | 192 | 219 | 412 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 825 | 142 | 90 | 268 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 742 | 105 | 27 | 220 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 618 | 81 | N/A | 166 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 519 | -229 | N/A | 107 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 428 | -361 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 407 | -398 | N/A | 44 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 459 | -362 | N/A | 68 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 468 | -165 | N/A | 77 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 482 | -41 | N/A | 68 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 411 | -5 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 391 | -7 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 405 | -9 | N/A | 62 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 426 | 12 | N/A | 129 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 450 | 10 | N/A | 154 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 433 | -5 | N/A | 114 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 427 | -1,171 | N/A | 107 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 423 | -1,285 | N/A | 99 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 441 | -1,504 | N/A | 156 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 479 | -1,518 | N/A | 223 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 629 | -316 | N/A | 240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 780 | -198 | N/A | 280 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ELD's forecast earnings growth (20.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).
Earnings vs Market: ELD's earnings (20.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (11% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ELD's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ELD's revenue (21.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (5.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ELD's revenue (21.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ELD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.8%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/04 10:49 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/04 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Eldorado Gold Corporation is covered by 27 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Richard Gray | ATB Cormark |
| Farooq Hamed | Barclays |
| Brian Quast | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |