Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Endeavour Silver Corp. (TSE:EDR) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Endeavour Silver's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Endeavour Silver had debt of US$8.52m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from US$14.5m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$40.4m in cash, so it actually has US$31.9m net cash.
How Healthy Is Endeavour Silver's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Endeavour Silver had liabilities of US$58.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$30.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$40.4m as well as receivables valued at US$25.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$22.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given Endeavour Silver has a market capitalization of US$561.0m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Endeavour Silver also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Endeavour Silver if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 66% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Endeavour Silver can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Endeavour Silver has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Endeavour Silver saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Endeavour Silver has US$31.9m in net cash. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Endeavour Silver's balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Endeavour Silver (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:EDR
Endeavour Silver
A silver mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mineral properties in Chile and the United States.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.