Endeavour Silver Corp. Just Missed Earnings With A Surprise Loss - Here Are Analysts Latest Forecasts

Last week saw the newest first-quarter earnings release from Endeavour Silver Corp. (TSE:EDR), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. Revenues of US$62m beat expectations by 3.5%. Unfortunately statutory earnings per share (EPS) fell well short of the mark, turning in a loss of US$0.13 compared to previous analyst expectations of a profit. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit.

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Endeavour Silver's seven analysts is for revenues of US$385.9m in 2025. This would reflect a sizeable 78% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Endeavour Silver is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.13 per share. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$374.0m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.15 in 2025. Overall it looks as though the analysts were a bit mixed on the latest results. Although there was a a sizeable to revenue, the consensus also made a minor downgrade to its earnings per share forecasts.

View our latest analysis for Endeavour Silver

The consensus price target was unchanged at CA$7.75, suggesting the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite some adjustments to profit and revenue forecasts. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Endeavour Silver, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CA$9.00 and the most bearish at CA$7.25 per share. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Endeavour Silver is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Endeavour Silver's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 115% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 13% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 14% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Endeavour Silver is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Endeavour Silver. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CA$7.75, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Endeavour Silver. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Endeavour Silver going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Endeavour Silver that you need to be mindful of.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.