Stock Analysis

Capstone Copper Corp.'s (TSE:CS) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Published
TSX:CS

It's not a stretch to say that Capstone Copper Corp.'s (TSE:CS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Capstone Copper

TSX:CS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 15th 2024

How Has Capstone Copper Performed Recently?

Capstone Copper could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Capstone Copper's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Capstone Copper?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Capstone Copper's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 107% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 27% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 35% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Capstone Copper's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Given that Capstone Copper's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Capstone Copper.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.