Stock Analysis
Is Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund's (TSE:CHE.UN) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?
Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund's (TSE:CHE.UN) stock is up by a considerable 18% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund's ROE.
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
View our latest analysis for Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund is:
16% = CA$128m ÷ CA$804m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CA$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CA$0.16 in profit.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
A Side By Side comparison of Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund's Earnings Growth And 16% ROE
To begin with, Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 7.1%. Probably as a result of this, Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund was able to see an impressive net income growth of 56% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.
As a next step, we compared Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 18%.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
The three-year median payout ratio for Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund is 30%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 70%. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.
Additionally, Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 72% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.
Conclusion
In total, we are pretty happy with Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CHE.UN
Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund
Offers industrial chemicals and services in Canada, the United States, and South America.