Stock Analysis

Private companies in Canfor Corporation (TSE:CFP) are its biggest bettors, and their bets paid off as stock gained 4.0% last week

TSX:CFP
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Key Insights

  • Significant control over Canfor by private companies implies that the general public has more power to influence management and governance-related decisions
  • A total of 2 investors have a majority stake in the company with 54% ownership
  • 22% of Canfor is held by insiders

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Canfor Corporation (TSE:CFP), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 31% to be precise, is private companies. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Clearly, private companies benefitted the most after the company's market cap rose by CA$74m last week.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Canfor.

See our latest analysis for Canfor

ownership-breakdown
TSX:CFP Ownership Breakdown February 16th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Canfor?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Canfor already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Canfor, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:CFP Earnings and Revenue Growth February 16th 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Canfor. The Jim Pattison Group, Inc. is currently the largest shareholder, with 31% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 22% and 2.2% of the stock.

To make our study more interesting, we found that the top 2 shareholders have a majority ownership in the company, meaning that they are powerful enough to influence the decisions of the company.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Canfor

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

It seems insiders own a significant proportion of Canfor Corporation. It is very interesting to see that insiders have a meaningful CA$413m stake in this CA$1.8b business. Most would be pleased to see the board is investing alongside them. You may wish to access this free chart showing recent trading by insiders.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 31% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Company Ownership

Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 31%, of the company's shares. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Canfor better, we need to consider many other factors.

Many find it useful to take an in depth look at how a company has performed in the past. You can access this detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.