Amerigo Resources Ltd.'s (TSE:ARG) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.03 per share on 19th of September. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 5.5%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
Estimates Indicate Amerigo Resources' Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before this announcement, Amerigo Resources was paying out 86% of earnings, but a comparatively small 53% of free cash flows. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.
If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 3.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 128%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
View our latest analysis for Amerigo Resources
Amerigo Resources' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Looking back, the company hasn't been paying the most consistent dividend, but with such a short dividend history it could be too early to draw solid conclusions. Since 2021, the dividend has gone from $0.0618 total annually to $0.0866. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.8% a year over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's not great to see that Amerigo Resources' earnings per share has fallen at approximately 3.4% per year over the past five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.
In Summary
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Amerigo Resources that you should be aware of before investing. Is Amerigo Resources not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:ARG
Amerigo Resources
Through its subsidiary, Minera Valle Central S.A., produces copper and molybdenum concentrates in Chile.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.
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