Almonty Industries Inc.

TSX:AII Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$721.3m

Almonty Industries Valuation

Is AII undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AII when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CA$11.69
Fair Value
78.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: AII (CA$2.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$11.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AII is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AII?

Key metric: As AII is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AII. This is calculated by dividing AII's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AII's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio24x
SalesCA$28.84m
Market CapCA$721.33m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AII's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AII vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
MDI Major Drilling Group International
1x17.0%CA$693.2m
USA Americas Gold and Silver
4.1xn/aCA$556.3m
AFM Alphamin Resources
1.4xn/aCA$1.1b
LUCA Luca Mining
4.1x38.6%CA$342.4m
AII Almonty Industries
24x42.7%CA$721.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AII is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (24x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AII's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

79 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HBM Hudbay Minerals
1.4x3.7%US$2.79b
STLC Stelco Holdings
1.3x-0.1%US$2.66b
OGC OceanaGold
1.9x8.3%US$2.58b
FVI Fortuna Mining
1.8x-11.4%US$1.88b
AII 24.0xIndustry Avg. 3.4xNo. of Companies79PS0816243240+
79 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AII is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (24x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (3.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AII's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AII PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio24x
Fair PS Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AII is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (24x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AII forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$2.47
CA$4.47
+81.1%
11.6%CA$5.20CA$3.97n/a5
Aug ’24CA$0.59
CA$1.69
+185.6%
0.3%CA$1.69CA$1.68CA$0.662
Jul ’24CA$0.60
CA$1.69
+180.8%
0.3%CA$1.69CA$1.68CA$0.602
Jun ’24CA$0.59
CA$1.69
+185.6%
0.3%CA$1.69CA$1.68CA$0.692
May ’24CA$0.67
CA$1.68
+150.7%
1.0%CA$1.70CA$1.66CA$0.633
Apr ’24CA$0.63
CA$1.68
+166.7%
1.0%CA$1.70CA$1.66CA$0.623
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
CA$4.47
Fair Value
44.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/23 21:59
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/23 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Almonty Industries Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nicholas GilesB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Arun ThomasByron Capital Markets
null nullCouloir Capital Limited