Stock Analysis

Acadian Timber (TSE:ADN) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.29

TSX:ADN
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The board of Acadian Timber Corp. (TSE:ADN) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.29 per share on the 15th of January. This makes the dividend yield 6.7%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

View our latest analysis for Acadian Timber

Acadian Timber Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last dividend, Acadian Timber is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 152% of cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.

EPS is set to fall by 73.1% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 193%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
TSX:ADN Historic Dividend December 13th 2023

Acadian Timber Has A Solid Track Record

Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from CA$0.825 total annually to CA$1.16. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.5% a year over that time. Although we can't deny that the dividend has been remarkably stable in the past, the growth has been pretty muted.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. We are encouraged to see that Acadian Timber has grown earnings per share at 12% per year over the past five years. The company is paying out a lot of its cash as a dividend, but it looks okay based on the payout ratio.

In Summary

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think Acadian Timber is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Acadian Timber has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about. Is Acadian Timber not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.